Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-7
Atlético vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ATM
4 - 0
RCV
88%
8%
4%
|
69 | 17 | 52 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
RCV
2 - 2
ATM
17%
19%
65%
|
69 | 17 | 52 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
SPO
0 - 1
ATM
56%
19%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
OVI
5 - 1
ATM
61%
17%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
ATM
4 - 2
MUR
69%
16%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1933 |
BET
4 - 2
VCF
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
VCF
6 - 0
VAD
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
VAD
2 - 2
VCF
37%
22%
41%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
ALA
1 - 1
VCF
46%
21%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
ATH
8 - 2
VCF
82%
11%
8%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |