Atlético vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.7%
7.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
CEL
2 - 2
ATM
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
ATM
2 - 3
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATM
47%
22%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
ATM
3 - 2
ATH
52%
20%
28%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
SPO
2 - 4
ATM
37%
23%
40%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
RJA
1 - 1
UDL
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
UDL
1 - 6
CEL
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
UDL
0 - 7
FCB
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
ESP
3 - 0
UDL
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
UDL
5 - 3
VCF
40%
25%
36%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |