Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 10-1
Atlético vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1956 |
UDL
1 - 4
ATM
46%
22%
31%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
ATM
4 - 1
DEP
72%
14%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATM
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
UDL
1 - 1
ATM
39%
24%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
ATM
4 - 5
RSO
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1956 |
UDL
1 - 4
ATM
46%
22%
31%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
UDL
2 - 0
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
RMA
6 - 0
UDL
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
UDL
1 - 1
ATM
39%
24%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
UDL
2 - 3
SEV
32%
23%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |