Atlético vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1972 |
UDL
1 - 0
ATM
41%
29%
30%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
ATM
1 - 1
ESP
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
RSO
0 - 0
ATM
42%
29%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
ATM
0 - 0
MAL
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
CCF
0 - 1
ATM
30%
29%
41%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
RMA
1 - 0
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
SPO
0 - 1
UDL
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
ESP
0 - 0
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
SPO
1 - 0
RSO
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
SPO
3 - 0
MAL
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |