Atlético vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
SEV
3 - 0
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
CEL
6 - 1
ATM
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
ATM
5 - 2
HER
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATM
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1946 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALC
69%
16%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1946 |
ESP
2 - 2
SPO
55%
21%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
RMA
2 - 2
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
SPO
1 - 2
SEV
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
CAS
2 - 0
SPO
50%
22%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |