Atlético vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATM
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 0
RCF
85%
9%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAB
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
CAS
2 - 3
ATM
47%
23%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
BET
1 - 1
ATM
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
SPO
3 - 1
SEV
36%
24%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
SPO
0 - 0
OVI
42%
22%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ATH
0 - 1
SPO
83%
10%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 2
VCF
33%
23%
44%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
DEP
2 - 2
SPO
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |