Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-8
Atlético vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
SPO
5 - 1
ATM
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ATM
2 - 3
SEV
54%
20%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
57%
20%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
41%
22%
37%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
ATM
3 - 2
ESP
45%
20%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
SPO
5 - 1
ATM
43%
22%
35%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
SPO
2 - 0
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
BAR
3 - 2
SPO
50%
20%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1936 |
SPO
2 - 0
DEP
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SPO
4 - 0
DEP
73%
15%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |