Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 5-5
Atlético vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
ATM
2 - 1
RSO
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
ATH
1 - 0
ATM
45%
29%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
ATM
0 - 0
ESP
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1972 |
ATM
2 - 1
BAS
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATM
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
ADO
0 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
SPA
1 - 0
ADO
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1971 |
VST
4 - 0
SPA
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1971 |
SPA
0 - 0
VST
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
KOS
2 - 1
SPA
34%
23%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |