Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-0
Atlético vs Shelbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
CCF
0 - 0
ATM
27%
27%
47%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1964 |
SHE
0 - 1
ATM
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMA
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATM
26%
26%
47%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
ATM
3 - 1
SEV
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1964 |
SHE
0 - 1
ATM
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
SHE
2 - 1
BEL
41%
22%
36%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
SHE
0 - 0
BEL
40%
22%
38%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 1
SHE
68%
16%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 1
SHE
86%
9%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |