Europa League 1/32
Global 1-5
Atlético vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 3
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
HER
2 - 3
ATM
30%
28%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 2
ATM
28%
28%
45%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 0
REC
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
BUR
0 - 1
ATM
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 5
SGD
18%
25%
57%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
SGD
3 - 0
HAL
80%
13%
7%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
ZWI
0 - 1
SGD
15%
25%
61%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SGD
3 - 0
CZJ
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
FVF
0 - 3
SGD
17%
25%
58%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |