Atlético vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATM
51%
25%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ATM
2 - 1
RAC
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ATM
5 - 0
MAL
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
GET
0 - 3
ATM
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SEV
1 - 1
MLL
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
SEV
2 - 0
LIL
50%
28%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 1
SEV
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 0
SEV
42%
28%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SEV
2 - 1
ATH
49%
26%
26%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |