Atlético vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1987 |
ATM
0 - 0
UDL
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
UDL
0 - 3
ATM
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
ATM
3 - 1
OSA
72%
19%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1987 |
ATM
2 - 1
ELC
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
ZAR
2 - 2
ATM
45%
26%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATH
46%
29%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
VCF
1 - 1
SEV
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1987 |
SEV
3 - 0
VCF
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
SEV
2 - 2
ESP
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
CAD
1 - 0
SEV
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |