Atlético vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
BET
1 - 0
ATM
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1976 |
HKS
1 - 2
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
ELC
0 - 1
ATM
25%
29%
46%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
ATM
3 - 1
FCB
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
HER
0 - 0
SEV
57%
26%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
TER
0 - 0
SEV
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
SEV
0 - 1
FCB
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
ATH
4 - 0
SEV
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
CDT
2 - 0
SEV
29%
28%
44%
|
72 | 20 | 52 | 0 |