Atlético vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
FCP
0 - 0
ATM
63%
20%
18%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 1
ATM
65%
19%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ATM
2 - 1
FCP
62%
19%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
ATM
0 - 2
ZAR
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
ATM
3 - 1
VAD
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
SEV
2 - 2
MUR
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
PON
0 - 0
SEV
22%
24%
54%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
SEV
3 - 0
VCF
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
BET
3 - 1
SEV
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
SEV
1 - 1
BET
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |