Atlético vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
18.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
HER
4 - 0
ATM
31%
24%
46%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ATM
4 - 0
RSO
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATM
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ATM
2 - 1
DEP
72%
15%
13%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
FCB
4 - 0
ATM
82%
11%
8%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
SEV
5 - 2
CEL
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ESP
2 - 0
SEV
59%
20%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SEV
1 - 2
ALA
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
HER
1 - 1
SEV
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |