Atlético vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1933 |
OSA
2 - 2
ATM
46%
21%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ATM
4 - 2
RUN
50%
20%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
DEP
1 - 1
ATM
53%
20%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
ATM
2 - 0
SPO
54%
20%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
53%
20%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 2
RUN
45%
21%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
SEV
4 - 0
CAS
73%
16%
12%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
SPO
5 - 1
SEV
67%
17%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
DEP
3 - 1
SEV
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
SEV
3 - 1
OSA
60%
20%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |