Atlético vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1921 |
ATH
4 - 1
ATM
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1921 |
ATM
5 - 2
RUN
88%
8%
4%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1921 |
RUN
1 - 2
ATM
19%
22%
59%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1924 |
RUN
2 - 0
SEV
26%
23%
51%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1924 |
SEV
1 - 1
RUN
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1923 |
SEV
1 - 2
EUR
83%
11%
6%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1923 |
EUR
4 - 0
SEV
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1922 |
FCB
7 - 1
SEV
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |