Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-2
Atlético vs SD Compostela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
ATM
1 - 4
RMA
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
ATM
5 - 1
ZAR
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
EXT
2 - 4
ATM
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
ATM
2 - 2
RSO
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
ATH
1 - 1
ATM
34%
26%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
COM
2 - 1
ZAR
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
RSO
4 - 1
COM
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1997 |
COM
3 - 0
OVI
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
COM
1 - 1
RAC
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1997 |
OVI
1 - 0
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |