Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Atlético vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
4.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.3%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.7%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
ATM
2 - 1
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
ESP
2 - 2
ATM
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
ATM
0 - 1
ATH
57%
20%
24%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
SEV
3 - 3
ATM
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
ATM
4 - 0
GRA
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 0
S04
59%
21%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
S04
1 - 5
BVB
67%
18%
16%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
VIK
3 - 2
S04
54%
20%
26%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
S04
5 - 1
SHE
90%
7%
3%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
DUI
2 - 3
S04
53%
22%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |