Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-0
Atlético vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
SAB
0 - 1
ATM
38%
23%
39%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
ATM
1 - 2
OSA
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ELC
3 - 4
ATM
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
ATM
0 - 1
ATH
53%
21%
26%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ATM
46%
23%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
SAB
0 - 1
ATM
38%
23%
39%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
SDI
4 - 1
SAB
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
SAB
2 - 2
TER
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
BAS
2 - 1
SAB
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1960 |
SAB
1 - 1
BAR
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |