Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Atlético vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
GET
0 - 1
ATM
9%
18%
73%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ATM
1 - 0
SPO
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
ALB
0 - 1
ATM
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
ATM
1 - 0
LEG
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
LLE
1 - 1
ATM
13%
20%
68%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
ZAR
1 - 1
CEL
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
OSA
1 - 0
ZAR
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RSO
64%
20%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
ZAR
0 - 0
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
UDL
2 - 1
ZAR
35%
27%
39%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |