Atlético vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
ATM
5 - 2
ESP
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
UDL
1 - 1
ATM
25%
28%
48%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1965 |
ATM
4 - 0
UCL
88%
9%
4%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
CCF
0 - 1
ATM
25%
28%
47%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
CCF
2 - 1
ZAR
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
ZAR
2 - 0
VCF
69%
17%
13%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
PON
1 - 1
ZAR
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
ZAR
4 - 1
BET
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
SAB
3 - 1
ZAR
22%
26%
53%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | -1 |