Atlético vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATM
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
ATM
5 - 1
OVI
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
ELC
1 - 0
ATM
37%
26%
36%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
ATM
3 - 0
CCF
77%
15%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATM
80%
13%
8%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ZAR
2 - 0
FCB
60%
20%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
WHU
2 - 1
ZAR
49%
22%
29%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
BET
2 - 1
ZAR
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
UDL
1 - 3
ZAR
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
ZAR
4 - 2
VCF
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |