Atlético vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATM
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
GRA
0 - 3
ATM
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ATM
2 - 0
SEV
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATM
45%
24%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
ATM
1 - 1
ESP
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
ZAR
5 - 3
RAC
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ZAR
2 - 1
BET
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
VAD
1 - 2
ZAR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ZAR
1 - 1
FCB
19%
22%
58%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
OVI
3 - 0
ZAR
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |