Atlético vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
BET
3 - 2
ATM
32%
24%
45%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1958 |
CSK
1 - 0
ATM
33%
23%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
ATM
2 - 0
OSA
83%
11%
7%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
CEL
0 - 1
ATM
37%
23%
39%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
ATM
1 - 1
SPO
85%
10%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
ZAR
2 - 1
FCB
22%
23%
56%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
UDL
3 - 1
ZAR
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
BET
7 - 0
ZAR
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
ZAR
2 - 1
OSA
52%
23%
26%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
CEL
2 - 0
ZAR
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |