Atlético vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.2%
13.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
BET
1 - 2
ATM
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATM
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
4 - 1
CEL
63%
17%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ESP
2 - 0
ATM
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 0
VCF
45%
20%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
CEL
5 - 1
ZAR
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
ESP
2 - 0
ZAR
76%
14%
11%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ZAR
3 - 0
RAC
45%
20%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
SEV
3 - 0
ZAR
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |