Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-6
Atlético vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 0
VCF
58%
19%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATM
56%
19%
25%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 2
ATM
58%
19%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ATM
4 - 2
SEV
55%
21%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
ZAR
3 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
BAR
0 - 4
ZAR
42%
23%
35%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ESP
38%
22%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
15%
14%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SEV
34%
22%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |