Atlético vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
11.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATM
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ATM
2 - 1
DEP
72%
15%
13%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
FCB
4 - 0
ATM
82%
11%
8%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ATM
1 - 2
ATH
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
RAC
2 - 4
ATM
50%
21%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
RSO
5 - 0
CEL
60%
20%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ESP
1 - 0
RSO
71%
16%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
RSO
2 - 0
ALA
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
SEV
5 - 2
RSO
74%
15%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
RSO
4 - 0
HER
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |