Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-5
Atlético vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
RSO
3 - 3
ATM
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
ATH
0 - 2
ATM
73%
15%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
ATM
3 - 1
RMA
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
ATM
2 - 0
ALC
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
ESP
4 - 3
ATM
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
RSO
3 - 3
ATM
40%
23%
37%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
SDC
2 - 1
RSO
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
RSO
3 - 1
BET
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
GIM
2 - 4
RSO
41%
23%
36%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
RSO
0 - 1
RAC
60%
18%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |