Atlético vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
FCB
4 - 2
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
RAC
3 - 2
ATM
33%
20%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
ATM
3 - 3
RUN
62%
17%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATM
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
RSO
4 - 4
ARE
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1929 |
EUR
3 - 2
RSO
20%
18%
62%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
RSO
4 - 0
RMA
53%
21%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
ATH
2 - 2
RSO
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
RSO
7 - 0
RAC
77%
13%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |