Atlético vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
32%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1929 |
ARE
2 - 3
ATM
45%
22%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 4
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
ESP
5 - 1
ATM
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
ATM
1 - 1
RSG
84%
11%
6%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
RSG
2 - 3
ATM
22%
22%
56%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1929 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATH
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1928 |
RSO
0 - 0
FCB
38%
23%
40%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
FCB
6 - 0
RSO
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
PAT
0 - 4
RSO
20%
22%
57%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
RSO
6 - 0
PAT
86%
9%
5%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |