Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-3
Atlético vs RSG Torrelavega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
RSG
2 - 3
ATM
22%
22%
56%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
EXT
0 - 0
ATM
15%
20%
65%
|
77 | 8 | 69 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
ATM
3 - 0
EXT
87%
9%
4%
|
77 | 9 | 68 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
ATM
3 - 2
RSG
84%
10%
6%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
ATM
1 - 4
RAC
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
RSG Torrelavega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
RSG
2 - 3
ATM
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
MLL
1 - 2
RSG
81%
12%
7%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
RSG
5 - 1
MLL
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
ATM
3 - 2
RSG
84%
10%
6%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
RSG
0 - 0
ALA
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |