Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-0
Atlético vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
ALM
2 - 1
ATM
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 2
UDL
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1981 |
OVI
0 - 0
ATM
16%
23%
61%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
VAD
0 - 2
ATM
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
OSA
0 - 0
ATM
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
OVI
1 - 1
ELC
46%
30%
24%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
OVI
2 - 1
BUR
40%
29%
30%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1981 |
OVI
0 - 0
ATM
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
RAC
1 - 0
OVI
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
OVI
1 - 1
REC
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |