Atlético vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1963 |
FCN
2 - 1
ATM
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1963 |
ATM
1 - 1
ELC
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATM
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ATM
4 - 2
FCB
58%
20%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
OVI
5 - 1
SEV
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
VCF
5 - 0
OVI
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
DEP
2 - 1
OVI
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
OVI
4 - 0
VAD
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 1
OVI
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |