Atlético vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
RSO
4 - 1
ATM
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ATM
4 - 1
FCB
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
DEP
3 - 1
ATM
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ATM
0 - 1
SEV
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
RMA
4 - 2
ATM
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
OVI
2 - 0
VCF
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
OVI
2 - 2
VAD
65%
17%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
RSO
7 - 0
OVI
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
OVI
0 - 2
FCB
42%
23%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
DEP
2 - 2
OVI
56%
21%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |