Atlético vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
MUR
0 - 0
ATM
30%
22%
48%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
ATM
0 - 0
VCF
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
ATM
1 - 0
ATH
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
ALC
3 - 1
ATM
24%
21%
55%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
OVI
3 - 2
ALC
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
ESP
1 - 2
OVI
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
SPO
1 - 0
OVI
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
OVI
1 - 1
SEV
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
CAS
1 - 1
OVI
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |