Atlético vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
ATM
2 - 3
SIO
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
MAL
1 - 0
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
ATM
2 - 1
RSO
62%
22%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
SIO
1 - 0
ATM
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
ATM
3 - 0
OSA
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
MUR
8 - 0
YEC
84%
11%
5%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
MUR
0 - 3
VCF
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1984 |
YEC
1 - 0
MUR
25%
29%
47%
|
75 | 26 | 49 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
MUR
4 - 0
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
MUR
0 - 1
BET
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |