Atlético vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ATM
3 - 2
PON
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1964 |
ATM
1 - 2
JUV
59%
20%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
VCF
2 - 1
ATM
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
ATM
0 - 0
BET
69%
18%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
ATM
5 - 1
CCF
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
MUR
2 - 1
VAD
39%
26%
36%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
PON
2 - 1
MUR
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
MUR
2 - 0
VCF
31%
28%
42%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
BET
3 - 1
MUR
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
MUR
1 - 0
ESP
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |