Atlético vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
OVI
4 - 0
ATM
49%
21%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
ATM
3 - 1
DEP
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
ATM
1 - 1
VCF
62%
19%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
FCB
3 - 2
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
ATM
1 - 1
SEV
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 0
VCF
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
FCB
6 - 2
MUR
82%
11%
6%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
MUR
1 - 1
SEV
23%
21%
56%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
CEL
6 - 0
MUR
78%
13%
10%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
MUR
0 - 0
SAB
50%
22%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |