Atlético vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
VCF
6 - 1
ATM
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1945 |
ATH
0 - 0
ATM
71%
15%
13%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 2
ATM
57%
20%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
ATM
3 - 1
SEV
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
ATH
0 - 1
ATM
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 3
ALC
61%
19%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 0
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
MUR
3 - 5
RMA
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 1
MUR
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
OVI
3 - 2
MUR
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |