Atlético vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
SAB
0 - 1
ATM
36%
24%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
GRA
2 - 1
ATM
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
60%
18%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1944 |
ATH
3 - 2
ATM
67%
17%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
MUR
3 - 1
SEV
36%
24%
41%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
ATH
5 - 1
MUR
81%
12%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 1
VCF
35%
22%
43%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1944 |
MUR
1 - 5
VCF
34%
22%
44%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |