Atlético vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.8%
14.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
ATM
1 - 0
DEP
68%
16%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1931 |
SEV
3 - 1
ATM
42%
22%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
VCF
4 - 3
ATM
43%
22%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
ATM
3 - 2
OVI
66%
17%
18%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
ISC
1 - 0
ATM
30%
22%
48%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1931 |
BET
3 - 0
MUR
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
MUR
2 - 1
SEV
41%
23%
36%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
CAS
1 - 3
MUR
69%
17%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
DEP
5 - 4
MUR
71%
16%
14%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1931 |
MUR
1 - 1
ISC
56%
21%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |