Supercopa Final
Global 2-1
Atlético vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 0
SAM
84%
13%
4%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 1
ATM
9%
21%
71%
|
93 | 59 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WOL
1 - 5
ATM
27%
26%
47%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
GAL
0 - 0
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
78%
14%
8%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FIO
2 - 1
RMA
9%
15%
76%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
RMA
2 - 0
SEV
89%
8%
3%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MUD
3 - 1
RMA
17%
20%
63%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
RMA
0 - 1
ROM
88%
9%
4%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |