Atlético vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1962 |
BAS
2 - 1
ATM
26%
25%
50%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1962 |
BAS
3 - 0
ATM
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ATH
5 - 1
ATM
54%
22%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ATM
1 - 1
FCB
52%
21%
27%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
RSO
1 - 0
ATM
27%
26%
47%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 0
SDL
89%
7%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 0
MLL
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
18%
23%
60%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 2
OSA
91%
6%
3%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
RMA
3 - 1
JUV
83%
10%
7%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | +1 |