Atlético vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
CAS
0 - 2
ATM
33%
24%
44%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
ATM
8 - 3
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
ATH
3 - 1
ATM
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
ATM
2 - 2
MUR
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
OVI
4 - 0
ATM
49%
21%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
RMA
2 - 4
VCF
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
FCB
3 - 2
RMA
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
RMA
3 - 0
SEV
65%
18%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
CEL
3 - 4
RMA
54%
21%
26%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
RMA
1 - 3
SAB
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |