Atlético vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
SPO
2 - 0
ATM
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
ATM
4 - 3
MUR
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
SAB
0 - 1
ATM
36%
24%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
GRA
2 - 1
ATM
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
RMA
5 - 0
SEV
59%
19%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
DEP
2 - 2
RMA
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
RMA
3 - 0
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |