Atlético vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SAB
4 - 1
ATM
24%
21%
55%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ATM
1 - 2
OVI
68%
16%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CEL
1 - 2
ATM
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
ESP
1 - 2
ATM
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ATM
2 - 0
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
RMA
2 - 2
GRA
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SEV
1 - 1
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
RMA
3 - 0
DEP
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
RMA
0 - 1
FCB
56%
20%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
VCF
1 - 0
RMA
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |