Atlético vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
HER
4 - 1
ATM
55%
21%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
ATM
3 - 0
FCB
43%
23%
35%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
ZAR
4 - 3
ATM
48%
20%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
ATM
0 - 0
BET
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
ATH
1 - 3
ATM
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
79%
12%
9%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
CEL
2 - 3
RMA
36%
23%
41%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
RMA
3 - 1
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
RAC
2 - 1
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
RMA
1 - 3
SEV
81%
12%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |