Atlético vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
ATM
1 - 3
ALA
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
ATH
3 - 1
ATM
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1927 |
BET
2 - 1
ATM
43%
23%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1927 |
ATM
3 - 1
CDP
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
ATM
1 - 1
BET
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1928 |
RAC
4 - 0
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1928 |
RMA
6 - 1
RSG
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1928 |
CDP
1 - 3
RMA
15%
20%
65%
|
78 | 7 | 71 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1928 |
RMA
7 - 0
CDP
89%
7%
3%
|
78 | 7 | 71 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1927 |
RUN
2 - 0
RMA
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |