Atlético vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.6%
6.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
FCB
2 - 2
ATM
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
SEV
2 - 2
ATM
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ATM
5 - 1
GRA
89%
7%
4%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
OSA
1 - 1
ATM
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
RJA
4 - 1
CEL
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ESP
2 - 0
RJA
68%
18%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
RJA
2 - 1
SPO
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
RJA
0 - 2
VAD
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ATH
5 - 1
RJA
85%
10%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |